20.10%
Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 79.9% on "Will I get a job at Tesla?", backed by 0 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 0 Mana
Your call
The market says 20.1%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
Side
Order
ManifoldQuoted price only
Quoted price20.10%
Spread + depth0.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability20.10%
4975
Shares
$3,975
Net if it wins
AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.
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