What is the current probability for "Will JerryRigEveryting be able to bend the iPhone Duo in half with his bare hands?"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 62%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Manifold — see the link on this page for the live order book.

Culture · Manifold

Will JerryRigEveryting be able to bend the iPhone Duo in half with his bare hands?

61.50%

Executive Briefing

Live Manifold consensus prices "Yes" at 61.5% on "Will JerryRigEveryting be able to bend the iPhone Duo in half with his bare hands?", backed by 0 Mana in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: 0 Mana

Your call

The market says 61.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

ManifoldQuoted price only

Quoted price61.50%

Spread + depth0.00 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability61.50%

1626

$626

Net if it wins

AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.

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