In 2028, will a public AI be able to play almost all computer games at human level with zero-shot computer use?
Trade on Manifold →Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 56.17% on "In 2028, will a public AI be able to play almost all computer games at human level with zero-shot computer use?", backed by 352 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 352 Mana
Your call
The market says 43.8%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "In 2028, will a public AI be able to play almost all computer games at human level with zero-shot computer use?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 43.83%, based on 352 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around February 1, 2028, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.