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Sports · Polymarket

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

Trade on Polymarket →
42.50%
Wed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PM3436384042444648505254%42.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 38.2% in 7d (36.3–40.0%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$319.4K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 42.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price42.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability43.00%
2326
Shares
$1,326
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
42.5¢
Total Depth
$1,068,656
Bid/Ask Imbalance
15% bid
Bids (Buy)
42.0¢164,080
41.0¢70,333
40.0¢53,158
39.0¢10,932
38.0¢8,753
37.0¢1,998
36.0¢7,110
35.0¢6
Asks (Sell)
43.0¢313,651
44.0¢142,087
45.0¢72,995
46.0¢42,359
47.0¢6,133
48.0¢7,924
49.0¢1,250
52.0¢2,010
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
43.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
43.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
43.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 42.50%, based on $319.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 21, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.