Sports · Polymarket

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

53.50%

Model projection: 57.9% in 7d (56.5–59.3%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 53.5% on "Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles", backed by $148.0K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $148.0K
Momentum: +0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 53.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

PolymarketLive order book

Quoted price53.50%

Spread + depth+0.50 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability54.00%

1852

$852

Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

1.0¢ (1.9%)

Mid Price

53.5¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$683,046

Bid/Ask Imbalance

88% bid

Bids (Buy)

53.0¢875,563

52.0¢70,290

51.0¢60,828

50.0¢123,279

49.0¢5,105

48.0¢346

47.0¢5,055

46.0¢50

Asks (Sell)

54.0¢52,222

55.0¢39,396

56.0¢18,421

57.0¢11,560

58.0¢787

59.0¢300

60.0¢5

61.0¢36

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

54.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

54.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

54.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldMLB: Will the Boston Red Sox sweep the Kansas City Royals OR will the 3-game series total 30 or more runs?

28.00%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 53.50%, based on $148.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 10, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.