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Sports · Polymarket

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

Trade on Polymarket →
31.00%
Thu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PMTue 29152025303540455055%36.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 24.7% in 6d (22.2–27.4%)-0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$718.2K
Momentum
-0.03pt/day

Your call

The market says 31.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price31.00%
Spread + depth+8.80 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability39.80%
2512
Shares
$1,512
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (5.4%)
Mid Price
37.0¢
Total Depth
$424,662
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
36.0¢7,006
35.0¢3,796
34.0¢300
33.0¢37
32.0¢10
30.0¢20
27.0¢480
19.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
38.0¢5
39.0¢489
40.0¢9,145
41.0¢355
42.0¢5,054
44.0¢55
45.0¢5
54.0¢43
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
38.98¢+2.58%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
39.80¢+4.74%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
48.46¢+27.54%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 31.00%, based on $718.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 29, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.