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Sports · Polymarket

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs

Trade on Polymarket →
73.50%
Tue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PM303540455055606570758085%74.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 70.6% in 6d (63.4–76.9%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$307.2K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 73.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price73.50%
Spread + depth+1.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability75.00%
1333
Shares
$333
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.3%)
Mid Price
74.5¢
Total Depth
$225,929
Bid/Ask Imbalance
28% bid
Bids (Buy)
74.0¢341
73.0¢3,519
72.0¢4,681
71.0¢10,860
70.0¢50
68.0¢2,000
64.0¢2,965
53.0¢858
Asks (Sell)
75.0¢33,800
76.0¢563
77.0¢547
78.0¢135
79.0¢7,550
80.0¢2,050
84.0¢2,000
88.0¢90
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
75.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
75.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
75.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 73.50%, based on $307.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 20, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.