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Sports · Polymarket

San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

Trade on Polymarket →
40.50%
39.8% calibrated
10 PM11 PMFri 0401 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM38404244464850%40.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$118.1K

Your call

The market says 40.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price40.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability41.00%
2439
Shares
$1,439
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.5%)
Mid Price
40.5¢
Total Depth
$87,187
Bid/Ask Imbalance
59% bid
Bids (Buy)
40.0¢6,633
39.0¢77,922
38.0¢14,383
37.0¢13,906
36.0¢3,486
35.0¢955
34.0¢5,055
33.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
41.0¢14,890
42.0¢12,745
43.0¢17,056
44.0¢4,214
45.0¢881
46.0¢2,099
47.0¢10
48.0¢2,696
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
41.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
41.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
41.38¢+0.94%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldMLB: Will the San Francisco Giants sweep the St. Louis Cardinals OR will the 3-game series total 24 or more runs?
48.55%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 40.50%, based on $118.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.