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Sports · Polymarket

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Trade on Polymarket →
53.50%
Mon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 12202530354045505560657075%61.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 49.5% in 6d (38.8–60.2%)-0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$221.0K
Momentum
-0.03pt/day

Your call

The market says 53.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price53.50%
Spread + depth+8.34 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability61.84%
1617
Shares
$617
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.7%)
Mid Price
60.5¢
Total Depth
$94,354
Bid/Ask Imbalance
33% bid
Bids (Buy)
60.0¢25,179
59.0¢6,243
58.0¢10,432
56.0¢50
55.0¢55
54.0¢5
53.0¢9
40.0¢151
Asks (Sell)
61.0¢260
62.0¢11,286
63.0¢1,864
64.0¢2,881
65.0¢20,473
66.0¢6,820
67.0¢5
82.0¢144
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
61.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
61.84¢+1.38%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
62.43¢+2.34%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldMLB: Will the Washington Nationals sweep the Los Angeles Angels OR will the 3-game series total 28 or more runs?
46.06%
Same bet?

Similar Sports Markets

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Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

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MLB: Will the Washington Nationals sweep the Los Angeles Angels OR will the 3-game series total 28 or more runs?

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Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-05?

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MLB: Will the Los Angeles Dodgers sweep the Miami Marlins OR will the 3-game series total 27 or more runs?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 53.50%, based on $221.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 13, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.