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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Bills (-4.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
50.50%
49.6% calibrated
Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 154042444648505254%50.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$19.8K

Your call

The market says 50.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price50.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability51.00%
1961
Shares
$961
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.0%)
Mid Price
50.5¢
Total Depth
$326,597
Bid/Ask Imbalance
66% bid
Bids (Buy)
50.0¢218,404
49.0¢71,050
48.0¢128,728
47.0¢12,937
46.0¢2,093
45.0¢810
44.0¢25
42.0¢30
Asks (Sell)
51.0¢93,419
52.0¢22,223
53.0¢55,267
54.0¢4,516
55.0¢24,251
58.0¢780
59.0¢25
61.0¢1,005
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
51.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
51.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
51.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessLions vs. Bills
33.50%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Bills (-4.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 50.50%, based on $19.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 18, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.