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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
51.50%
50.2% calibrated
Wed 2306 AM12 PM06 PMThu 2406 AM12 PM06 PMFri 2506 AM12 PM06 PMSat 2606 AM12 PM06 PMSep 2706 AM12 PM48505254565860%51.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$47.6K

Your call

The market says 51.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price51.50%
Spread + depth+1.47 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability52.97%
1888
Shares
$888
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.9%)
Mid Price
51.5¢
Total Depth
$290,162
Bid/Ask Imbalance
40% bid
Bids (Buy)
51.0¢90,173
50.0¢73,985
49.0¢51,603
48.0¢3,719
47.0¢855
46.0¢800
45.0¢800
41.0¢1,003
Asks (Sell)
52.0¢54
53.0¢79,106
54.0¢62,526
55.0¢34,784
56.0¢944
57.0¢60
58.0¢605
59.0¢600
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
52.72¢+1.38%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
52.97¢+1.87%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
53.00¢+1.92%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessChiefs vs. Dolphins
84.70%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 51.50%, based on $47.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 27, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.