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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Bears (-3.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
23.50%
Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 271020304050607080%23.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$160.1K

Your call

The market says 23.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price23.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability24.00%
4167
Shares
$3,167
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (4.3%)
Mid Price
23.5¢
Total Depth
$104,085
Bid/Ask Imbalance
55% bid
Bids (Buy)
23.0¢20,506
22.0¢121,412
21.0¢44,643
20.0¢31,209
19.0¢45,118
18.0¢344
17.0¢206
16.0¢645
Asks (Sell)
24.0¢61,705
25.0¢51,770
26.0¢38,012
27.0¢5,593
28.0¢9,526
29.0¢700
30.0¢800
31.0¢800
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
24.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
24.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
24.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessEagles vs. Bears
65.50%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Bears (-3.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 23.50%, based on $160.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 29, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.