18.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 82% on "OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?", backed by $39 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $39
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
2.0¢ (11.1%)
Mid Price
18.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$3,269
Bid/Ask Imbalance
11% bid
Bids (Buy)
17.0¢22
16.0¢5
15.0¢50
14.0¢10
12.0¢20
11.0¢224
10.0¢600
9.0¢55
Asks (Sell)
19.0¢64
24.0¢18
25.0¢40
26.0¢240
27.0¢800
28.0¢1,249
30.0¢100
48.0¢200
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
24.79¢+30.49%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
32.79¢+72.59%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
57.78¢+204.08%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 18.00%, based on $39 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.