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Culture · Polymarket

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Trade on Polymarket →
60.50%
Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21525456586062646668707274%60.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 57.5% in 14d (54.5–60.5%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$15.4K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 60.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price60.50%
Spread + depth+5.88 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability66.38%
1506
Shares
$506
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.7%)
Mid Price
60.5¢
Total Depth
$74,027
Bid/Ask Imbalance
12% bid
Bids (Buy)
60.0¢843
59.0¢203
57.0¢500
55.0¢533
54.0¢700
52.0¢45
50.0¢1,500
44.0¢500
Asks (Sell)
61.0¢20
62.0¢154
63.0¢199
64.0¢200
65.0¢60
66.0¢57
68.0¢210
69.0¢494
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
61.88¢+1.44%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
66.38¢+8.82%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
76.86¢+26.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 60.50%, based on $15.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.