Politics · PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Vance
Trade on PredictIt →44.00%
Executive Briefing
Live PredictIt consensus prices "No" at 56% on "Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Vance", backed by an unpublished amount (PredictIt doesn't report volume) in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- —
Compare Across Platforms
Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)47.16%
Platforms differ by 3.95pts — a normal range.
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Vance | 44.00% | 43¢ / 45¢ | 20% |
| Polymarket | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 47.95% | 47.9¢ / 48¢ | 80% |
Similar Politics Markets
Polymarket▼ 0.2024H
47.95%+109
R
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
47.95%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $57.6K
Polymarket0.25%
R
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.25%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $270.1K
Polymarket▼ 0.4024H
17.35%+476
R
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
17.35%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $50.6K
PredictIt▲ 0.5024H
20.50%+388
R
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Rubio
20.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL —
PredictIt▲ 0.5024H
4.50%+2122
R
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Trump Jr.
4.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL —
PredictIt▲ 0.5024H
3.50%+2757
R
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Trump
3.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL —
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Vance"?
As of the latest update, PredictIt prices this at 44.00%, based on — in tracked 24h trading volume.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on PredictIt. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Polymarket (47.95%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 47.16%. See the full comparison table below.