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Culture · Polymarket

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?

Trade on Polymarket →
86.00%
Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 21Tue 22Wed 23Thu 24Fri 25Sat 26Sep 27Mon 28Tue 29Wed 30OctoberFri 02Sat 03Oct 04Mon 05Tue 066065707580859095100%86.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 79.4% in 14d (67.2–87.9%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$90.3K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 86.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price86.00%
Spread + depth+1.79 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability87.79%
1139
Shares
$139
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.2¢ (3.7%)
Mid Price
86.0¢
Total Depth
$160,592
Bid/Ask Imbalance
48% bid
Bids (Buy)
84.4¢5
84.3¢5
84.2¢30
84.1¢169
84.0¢200
83.5¢154
83.4¢200
83.3¢449
Asks (Sell)
87.6¢70
87.8¢1,195
87.9¢59
88.0¢286
88.5¢238
89.9¢5
90.0¢206
90.1¢200
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
87.68¢+0.09%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
87.79¢+0.21%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
94.20¢+7.53%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 86.00%, based on $90.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.