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Culture · Polymarket

SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
3.00%
Wed 12Thu 13Fri 14Sat 15Aug 16Mon 17Tue 18Wed 19Thu 20Fri 21Sat 22Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 3005101520253035%3.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$452

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (66.7%)
Mid Price
3.0¢
Total Depth
$41,458
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
2.0¢30
1.9¢40
1.7¢76
1.5¢50
1.3¢1,050
1.0¢5
0.7¢56
0.6¢200
Asks (Sell)
4.0¢200
4.2¢493
4.4¢411
4.7¢400
5.0¢200
7.6¢94
12.6¢200
15.2¢200
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
5.17¢+29.20%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
26.95¢+573.72%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
77.25¢+1831.31%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill Mohan Bhagwat be taken into custody by a U.S. government authority in New York City before August 31, 2026?
8.05%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 3.00%, based on $452 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.