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Sports · Polymarket

Will France win on 2026-09-25?

Trade on Polymarket →
66.50%
Sep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PM5860626466687072%66.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 67.4% in 2d (66.5–68.2%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$9.9K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 66.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price66.50%
Spread + depth+0.94 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability67.44%
1483
Shares
$483
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.5%)
Mid Price
66.5¢
Total Depth
$104,404
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
66.0¢3,429
65.0¢14,021
64.0¢3,903
63.0¢4,555
62.0¢4,097
61.0¢2,050
60.0¢22
59.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
67.0¢828
68.0¢4,082
69.0¢8,089
70.0¢9,561
71.0¢5,015
72.0¢5,455
73.0¢3,044
74.0¢7,146
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
67.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
67.44¢+0.66%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
68.71¢+2.56%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will France win on 2026-09-25?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 66.50%, based on $9.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 25, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.