87.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 87.5% on "US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?", backed by $152.5K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $152.5K
- Momentum
- +0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
87.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$421,506
Bid/Ask Imbalance
37% bid
Bids (Buy)
87.0¢13,927
86.0¢23,326
85.0¢105,464
84.0¢2,586
83.0¢17
82.0¢212
81.0¢235
80.0¢200
Asks (Sell)
88.0¢10,895
89.0¢24,415
90.0¢122,436
91.0¢8,313
92.0¢12,301
93.0¢3,065
94.0¢4,062
95.0¢3,070
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
88.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
88.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
88.04¢+0.05%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 87.50%, based on $152.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.