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Politics · Polymarket

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
11.50%
Wed 19Thu 20Fri 21Sat 22Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 1251015202530%11.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 11.3% in 14d (7.2–17.3%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$79.9K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (8.7%)
Mid Price
11.5¢
Total Depth
$230,244
Bid/Ask Imbalance
36% bid
Bids (Buy)
11.0¢1,138
10.0¢4,129
9.0¢11,985
8.0¢948,363
7.0¢13,161
6.0¢17,300
5.0¢2,477
4.0¢13,948
Asks (Sell)
12.0¢2,483
13.0¢3,020
14.0¢4,982
15.0¢210
16.0¢1,448
17.0¢2,945
18.0¢1,000
19.0¢1,050
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
12.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
12.96¢+8.04%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
27.77¢+131.41%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
22.69%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 11.50%, based on $79.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.