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Politics · Polymarket

Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Trade on Polymarket →
3.45%
09 PMThu 2703 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 2803 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 2903 AM06 AM09 AM0510152025303540%3.45%

Stats

24h Volume
$207.6K

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (2.9%)
Mid Price
3.5¢
Total Depth
$444,036
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
3.4¢467
3.3¢331
3.2¢1,095
3.1¢494
3.0¢31,319
2.9¢100
2.8¢1,127
2.7¢120
Asks (Sell)
3.5¢12,748
3.6¢5,594
3.7¢24,332
3.8¢4,133
3.9¢28,289
4.0¢23,786
4.1¢300
4.2¢200
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
3.50¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
3.59¢+2.53%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
4.67¢+33.54%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 5 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
57.50%
Flávio Bolsonaro
37.65%
Augusto CuryViewing
3.45%
Renan Santos
2.65%
Fernando Haddad
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
22.69%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 3.45%, based on $207.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.