25.35%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 74.65% on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", backed by $66.6K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $66.6K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
0.1¢ (0.4%)
Mid Price
25.4¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$13,218,589
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
25.3¢3,654
25.2¢313
25.1¢317
25.0¢4,357
24.9¢52,591
24.8¢5,130
24.7¢1,352
24.6¢220
Asks (Sell)
25.4¢5,262
25.5¢10,877
25.7¢251
25.8¢1,184
25.9¢7,605
26.0¢15,200
26.1¢270
26.4¢490
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
25.40¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
25.40¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
25.75¢+1.38%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)24.07%
Platforms differ by 3.85pts — a normal range.
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 25.35% | 25.3¢ / 25.4¢ | 67% |
| PredictIt | Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?: Vance | 21.50% | 21¢ / 22¢ | 33% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 25.35%, based on $66.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 7, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: PredictIt (21.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 24.07%. See the full comparison table below.