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Culture · Polymarket

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Trade on Polymarket →
44.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 1520253035404550556065%45.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 50.3% in 14d (41.9–58.7%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$5.7K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (4.4%)
Mid Price
45.0¢
Total Depth
$157,133
Bid/Ask Imbalance
6% bid
Bids (Buy)
44.0¢9
43.0¢50
42.0¢100
41.0¢5,138
40.0¢50
39.0¢146
38.0¢227
37.0¢2,783
Asks (Sell)
46.0¢31
47.0¢392
49.0¢1,000
50.0¢15,668
51.0¢5
52.0¢25
54.0¢5
56.0¢18
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
46.85¢+1.86%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
48.88¢+6.25%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
50.80¢+10.43%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $5.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.