44.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 55.5% on "Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?", backed by $5.7K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $5.7K
- Momentum
- +0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
2.0¢ (4.4%)
Mid Price
45.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$157,133
Bid/Ask Imbalance
6% bid
Bids (Buy)
44.0¢9
43.0¢50
42.0¢100
41.0¢5,138
40.0¢50
39.0¢146
38.0¢227
37.0¢2,783
Asks (Sell)
46.0¢31
47.0¢392
49.0¢1,000
50.0¢15,668
51.0¢5
52.0¢25
54.0¢5
56.0¢18
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
46.85¢+1.86%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
48.88¢+6.25%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
50.80¢+10.43%
avg fill · slippage
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $5.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.



