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Culture · Polymarket

Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Trade on Polymarket →
60.00%
12 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PM3540455055606570758085%60.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 67.7% in 5d (58.0–76.2%)+0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$10.3K
Momentum
+0.02pt/day

Your call

The market says 60.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price60.00%
Spread + depth+2.30 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability62.30%
1605
Shares
$605
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (3.3%)
Mid Price
60.0¢
Total Depth
$6,431
Bid/Ask Imbalance
23% bid
Bids (Buy)
59.0¢413
58.0¢371
56.0¢55
54.0¢26
53.0¢100
52.0¢62
51.0¢113
50.0¢113
Asks (Sell)
61.0¢558
62.0¢389
63.0¢270
64.0¢1,200
65.0¢55
66.0¢55
67.0¢62
68.0¢105
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
61.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
62.30¢+2.14%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
76.62¢+25.60%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 60.00%, based on $10.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 28, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.