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Culture · Polymarket

Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Trade on Polymarket →
84.50%
12 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PM6065707580859095%84.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 85.8% in 5d (79.6–90.3%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$15.6K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 84.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price84.50%
Spread + depth+1.76 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability86.26%
1159
Shares
$159
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.2%)
Mid Price
84.5¢
Total Depth
$20,117
Bid/Ask Imbalance
28% bid
Bids (Buy)
84.0¢41
83.0¢1,082
82.0¢1,490
81.0¢50
80.0¢207
79.0¢1,172
78.0¢1,389
77.0¢1,330
Asks (Sell)
85.0¢157
86.0¢549
87.0¢664
88.0¢100
89.0¢15
90.0¢55
91.0¢512
92.0¢2,078
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
85.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
86.26¢+1.48%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
93.22¢+9.67%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 84.50%, based on $15.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 28, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.