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Economics · Polymarket

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
27.50%
Current CPI Inflation (YoY)3.4%as of 2026-08-01· via FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 21Tue 22Wed 23Thu 24Fri 25Sat 26Sep 27Mon 28Tue 29Wed 30OctoberFri 02Sat 03Oct 04Mon 05Tue 06010203040506070%27.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 49.7% in 14d (38.3–61.2%)+0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$3.0K
Momentum
+0.03pt/day

Your call

The market says 27.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price27.50%
Spread + depth+2.87 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability30.37%
3293
Shares
$2,293
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.6%)
Mid Price
27.5¢
Total Depth
$2,455
Bid/Ask Imbalance
10% bid
Bids (Buy)
27.0¢256
26.0¢110
25.0¢420
24.0¢100
20.0¢20
7.0¢48
6.0¢30
5.0¢125
Asks (Sell)
28.0¢34
29.0¢200
30.0¢2,105
31.0¢427
32.0¢584
33.0¢369
34.0¢408
35.0¢235
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
29.22¢+4.35%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
30.37¢+8.46%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
38.73¢+38.34%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 27.50%, based on $3.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.