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AI · Polymarket

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
93.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15556065707580859095100%93.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 96.2% in 14d (95.4–96.8%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$3.2K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
93.5¢
Total Depth
$77,669
Bid/Ask Imbalance
40% bid
Bids (Buy)
93.0¢6,611
92.0¢3,551
91.0¢1,379
90.0¢14,339
88.0¢600
87.0¢300
85.0¢9
84.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
94.0¢777
95.0¢9,623
96.0¢8,507
97.0¢17,765
98.0¢7,757
99.0¢3,534
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
94.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
94.27¢+0.28%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
94.94¢+1.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
84.14%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 93.50%, based on $3.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around July 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.