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AI · Polymarket

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.15%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 1500.511.522.53%0.15%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 0.5% in 14d (0.4–0.6%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$3.8K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (66.7%)
Mid Price
0.1¢
Total Depth
$3,964,738
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.1¢15,654
Asks (Sell)
0.2¢2,737
0.5¢100
0.6¢6
1.0¢55
1.8¢74
2.0¢1,520
2.3¢48
2.9¢10
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
1.97¢+887.47%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
15.16¢+7482.19%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
57.89¢+28844.95%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold1 month after Anthropic IPO, will their market cap be higher than launch day?
44.29%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.15%, based on $3.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.