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AI · Polymarket

Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
25.85%
Sat 22Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 070102030405060%25.85%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 36.1% in 7d (22.8–51.9%)+0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$755
Momentum
+0.02pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.3¢ (16.6%)
Mid Price
25.9¢
Total Depth
$15,715
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
23.7¢72
23.6¢30
23.5¢332
23.4¢65
22.6¢20
22.0¢70
14.2¢49
14.1¢57
Asks (Sell)
28.0¢353
28.1¢140
28.2¢61
28.3¢20
29.0¢110
31.5¢100
57.1¢5
63.4¢40
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
28.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
58.51¢+108.98%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
92.65¢+230.91%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
84.14%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 25.85%, based on $755 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 7, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.