Culture · Polymarket

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Q: What is the current probability for "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 95%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Q: Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket — see the link on this page for the live order book.

Trade on Polymarket →

95.05%

Model projection: 96.3% in 14d (92.8–98.1%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 95.05% on "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?", backed by $7.4K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $7.4K
Momentum: +0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 95.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?

Take a position

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

PolymarketLive order book

Quoted price95.05%

Spread + depth+0.20 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability95.25%

1050

$50

Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

0.1¢ (0.1%)

Mid Price

95.0¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$141,048

Bid/Ask Imbalance

28% bid

Bids (Buy)

95.0¢1,653

94.9¢417

94.7¢170

94.6¢330

94.5¢30

94.4¢709

94.3¢2,098

94.2¢420

Asks (Sell)

95.1¢621

95.2¢95

95.3¢20

95.4¢60

95.5¢30

95.6¢658

96.0¢710

96.1¢1,800

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

95.10¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

95.25¢+0.16%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

96.84¢+1.83%

avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold📱 Will Apple announce a U.S. starting price of at least $2,400 for its foldable iPhone at its September 9 event?

8.93%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 95.05%, based on $7.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.