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Entertainment · Polymarket

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
56.00%
Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29OctoberSat 03Mon 05Wed 072530354045505560657075%56.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 55.8% in 14d (48.2–63.1%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$791
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 56.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price56.00%
Spread + depth+1.68 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability57.68%
1734
Shares
$734
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (3.6%)
Mid Price
56.0¢
Total Depth
$11,195
Bid/Ask Imbalance
14% bid
Bids (Buy)
55.0¢208
54.0¢530
53.0¢50
46.0¢5
45.0¢94
44.0¢107
43.0¢867
42.0¢959
Asks (Sell)
57.0¢650
58.0¢992
59.0¢1,123
60.0¢971
61.0¢419
62.0¢50
63.0¢40
65.0¢100
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
57.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
57.68¢+1.19%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
72.82¢+27.75%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 56.00%, based on $791 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.