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Finance · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?

Trade on Polymarket →
27.50%
Live Bitcoin Price$77,359▼ 0.00% 24h· via CoinGecko
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSeptember03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMWed 0203 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM102030405060708090%26.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$7.8K

Your call

The market says 27.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price27.50%
Spread + depth+0.11 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability27.61%
3621
Shares
$2,621
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.8%)
Mid Price
26.5¢
Total Depth
$85,045
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
26.0¢1,442
25.0¢560
24.0¢190
23.0¢3,865
22.0¢1,295
18.0¢35
17.0¢200
16.0¢3,000
Asks (Sell)
27.0¢1,990
28.0¢1,040
29.0¢629
30.0¢4,240
31.0¢1,053
32.0¢740
33.0¢15
38.0¢4,155
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
27.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
27.61¢+2.27%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
41.32¢+53.03%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
78.33%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 27.50%, based on $7.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 7, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.