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Finance · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
56.50%
Live Bitcoin Price$76,325▼ 2.76% 24h· via CoinGecko
Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 21Tue 22Wed 23Thu 24Fri 25Sat 26Sep 27Mon 28Tue 290102030405060708090100%56.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 29.2% in 14d (17.6–44.2%)-0.04pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$103.8K
Momentum
-0.04pt/day

Your call

The market says 56.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price56.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability57.00%
1754
Shares
$754
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.8%)
Mid Price
56.5¢
Total Depth
$260,438
Bid/Ask Imbalance
15% bid
Bids (Buy)
56.0¢261
55.0¢251
54.0¢18,225
53.0¢4,063
52.0¢3,995
50.0¢400
49.0¢4,621
48.0¢80
Asks (Sell)
57.0¢7,124
58.0¢19,514
59.0¢6,766
60.0¢765
62.0¢11
64.0¢3,000
73.0¢5,000
80.0¢1,220
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
57.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
57.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
57.59¢+1.03%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 56.50%, based on $103.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.