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Finance · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6?

Trade on Polymarket →
3.25%
Live Bitcoin Price$79,603▼ 1.69% 24h· via CoinGecko
12 PM06 PMSeptember06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 0206 AM12 PM06 PMThu 0306 AM12 PM06 PMFri 0406 AM12 PM06 PMSat 0506 AM12 PM06 PMSep 0606 AM12 PM06 PM0102030405060%3.20%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 2.9% in 2d (0.6–12.3%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$45.5K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 3.3%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price3.25%
Spread + depth+1.20 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability4.45%
22457
Shares
$21,457
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.7¢ (23.7%)
Mid Price
2.9¢
Total Depth
$94,415
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
2.6¢900
2.5¢35
1.9¢3,304
1.4¢253
1.0¢400
0.9¢150
0.4¢7,433
0.3¢2,100
Asks (Sell)
3.3¢914
3.4¢500
3.9¢3,000
4.0¢44
4.1¢7,100
4.4¢330
5.0¢12,691
5.4¢460
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
3.61¢+9.44%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
4.45¢+34.94%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
21.42¢+549.11%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 3.25%, based on $45.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 7, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.