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Culture · Polymarket

Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Trade on Polymarket →
70.50%
Wed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PM30405060708090100%70.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 61.9% in 8d (49.2–73.2%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$857
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
70.5¢
Total Depth
$1,108
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
70.0¢113
67.0¢20
56.0¢30
55.0¢279
50.0¢5
40.0¢13
1.0¢8
Asks (Sell)
71.0¢115
78.0¢804
98.0¢124
99.0¢8
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
72.21¢+1.70%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
79.76¢+12.33%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
79.76¢+12.33%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 70.50%, based on $857 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.