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Culture · Polymarket

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Trade on Polymarket →
27.50%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 110510152025303540455055%27.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 33.9% in 14d (23.3–46.3%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$13.6K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.6%)
Mid Price
27.5¢
Total Depth
$2,319,372
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
27.0¢6,892
25.0¢489
24.0¢1,125
23.0¢1,250
22.0¢2,707
21.0¢13
20.0¢302
19.0¢500
Asks (Sell)
28.0¢57,463
29.0¢22,023
30.0¢4,160
31.0¢2,020
32.0¢8,045
34.0¢664
35.0¢9,306
36.0¢445
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
28.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
28.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
28.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 27.50%, based on $13.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 13, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.