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Entertainment · Polymarket

Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Trade on Polymarket →
2.50%
Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 2705101520253035404550%2.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 2.4% in 14d (1.0–5.7%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$680
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 2.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price2.50%
Spread + depth+55.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability57.50%
1739
Shares
$739
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.4¢ (176.0%)
Mid Price
2.5¢
Total Depth
$26,826
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.3¢30
0.2¢241
0.1¢165
Asks (Sell)
4.7¢61
6.5¢100
6.6¢20
63.1¢70
63.2¢635
63.3¢45
63.6¢385
63.8¢276
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
31.01¢+559.89%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
57.50¢+1123.48%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
89.24¢+1798.75%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 2.50%, based on $680 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around March 14, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.