3.85%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 96.15% on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?", backed by $12.0K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $12.0K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
0.1¢ (2.6%)
Mid Price
3.9¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$443,226
Bid/Ask Imbalance
11% bid
Bids (Buy)
3.8¢2,752
3.7¢17,560
3.6¢23,374
3.5¢6,091
3.4¢9,124
3.3¢32,341
3.2¢2,157
3.1¢12,069
Asks (Sell)
3.9¢8,943
4.0¢40,349
4.1¢7,996
4.2¢49,765
4.3¢841
4.4¢5,920
4.5¢8,728
4.6¢7,904
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
3.90¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
3.96¢+1.66%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
4.51¢+15.75%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 3.85%, based on $12.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.