Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Politics · Polymarket

Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Trade on Polymarket →
26.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 155101520253035404550%26.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 30.3% in 14d (21.5–40.9%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$110
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.8%)
Mid Price
26.5¢
Total Depth
$576,129
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
26.0¢82
25.0¢10
24.0¢110
23.0¢6,602
22.0¢59
21.0¢5
20.0¢320
16.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
27.0¢45
28.0¢20
29.0¢295
30.0¢50
31.0¢100
33.0¢27
35.0¢266
37.0¢115
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
28.68¢+6.24%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
41.62¢+54.16%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
62.20¢+130.39%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election?
49.66%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 26.50%, based on $110 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.