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Culture · Polymarket

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?

Trade on Polymarket →
34.50%
Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 191015202530354045%34.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 30.9% in 14d (25.2–37.2%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.9K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 34.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price34.50%
Spread + depth+19.01 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability53.51%
1869
Shares
$869
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.9%)
Mid Price
34.5¢
Total Depth
$926
Bid/Ask Imbalance
23% bid
Bids (Buy)
34.0¢180
33.0¢188
32.0¢20
31.0¢20
24.0¢10
23.0¢20
22.0¢75
20.0¢113
Asks (Sell)
35.0¢539
36.0¢333
49.0¢7
67.0¢10
68.0¢20
70.0¢20
80.0¢50
91.0¢55
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
35.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
53.51¢+52.90%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
53.51¢+52.90%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 34.50%, based on $1.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.