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Entertainment · Polymarket

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?

Trade on Polymarket →
22.50%
Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29152025303540%22.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 21.6% in 14d (20.3–22.9%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$11
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 22.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price22.50%
Spread + depth+12.12 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability34.62%
2888
Shares
$1,888
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (13.3%)
Mid Price
22.5¢
Total Depth
$1,790
Bid/Ask Imbalance
18% bid
Bids (Buy)
21.0¢143
20.0¢587
19.0¢169
18.0¢669
17.0¢160
2.0¢60
1.0¢14
Asks (Sell)
24.0¢221
25.0¢713
26.0¢755
27.0¢239
28.0¢175
33.0¢40
35.0¢10
36.0¢8
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
24.46¢+1.91%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
34.62¢+44.25%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
42.64¢+77.68%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 22.50%, based on $11 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around March 14, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.