Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 83.5% on "Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?", backed by $7.1K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $7.1K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Your call
The market says 16.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
Live Order Book Depth
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
PolymarketWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
no history published
PolymarketWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
no history published
ManifoldUS Average Gas Price Is $4.4500 or more on September 24 2026?
no history published
ManifoldUS Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026?
no history published
Polymarket
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
no history published
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 16.50%, based on $7.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.