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Politics · Polymarket

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Trade on Polymarket →
1.05%
Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 1700.511.522.533.54%1.05%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 1.1% in 14d (1.0–1.1%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$60.9K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 1.1%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price1.05%
Spread + depth+0.27 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability1.32%
75688
Shares
$74,688
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (9.5%)
Mid Price
1.0¢
Total Depth
$14,088,012
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
1.0¢151,281
0.9¢36,531
0.8¢10,706
0.7¢59,731
0.6¢349,553
0.5¢302,700
0.4¢252,950
0.3¢3,533
Asks (Sell)
1.1¢6,097
1.2¢44,026
1.3¢3,844
1.4¢3,724
1.5¢3,425
1.6¢3,463
1.7¢5,474
1.8¢4,400
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
1.13¢+2.82%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
1.32¢+20.11%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
3.64¢+231.20%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 6 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

J.B. PritzkerViewing
1.05%
Stephen A. Smith
0.15%
George Clooney
0.15%
LeBron James
0.15%
Phil Murphy
0.15%
Beto O’Rourke
0.15%

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)1.87%
Platforms agree closely — 2.45pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1.05%1¢ / 1.1¢
67%
PredictIt
Confirmed 2d
Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?: Pritzker3.50%3¢ / 4¢
33%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 1.05%, based on $60.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 7, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: PredictIt (3.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 1.87%. See the full comparison table below.