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Politics · Polymarket

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Trade on Polymarket →
11.45%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 114681012141618%11.45%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 11.8% in 14d (11.1–12.5%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$54.0K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.9%)
Mid Price
11.5¢
Total Depth
$15,340,349
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
11.4¢4,602
11.3¢1,100
11.2¢2,886
11.1¢200
10.7¢220
10.5¢600
10.4¢459
10.3¢4,368
Asks (Sell)
11.5¢2,346
11.6¢177
11.7¢956
11.8¢14,043
11.9¢295
12.0¢11,982
12.2¢436
12.4¢16,600
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
11.50¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
11.70¢+1.76%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
12.65¢+9.98%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 6 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

JD Vance
25.30%
Jon OssoffViewing
11.45%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.25%
Kamala Harris
3.55%
Pete Hegseth
0.15%
Doug Burgum
0.15%

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)11.13%
Platforms agree closely — 0.95pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?11.45%11.4¢ / 11.5¢
67%
PredictItWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?: Ossoff10.50%10¢ / 11¢
33%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 11.45%, based on $54.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 7, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: PredictIt (10.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 11.13%. See the full comparison table below.