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Culture · Polymarket

Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?

Trade on Polymarket →
73.75%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31September30405060708090100%73.80%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 73.6% in 3d (55.7–86.1%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$28.8K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.7¢ (2.3%)
Mid Price
73.8¢
Total Depth
$26,012
Bid/Ask Imbalance
10% bid
Bids (Buy)
72.9¢300
72.8¢375
72.7¢50
72.0¢61
71.9¢50
71.4¢50
71.3¢50
68.1¢56
Asks (Sell)
74.6¢119
74.7¢393
74.8¢279
75.4¢63
75.5¢30
75.6¢50
75.9¢200
76.1¢40
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
74.61¢+0.02%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
75.24¢+0.86%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
90.03¢+20.68%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 73.75%, based on $28.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.