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Culture · Polymarket

Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?

Trade on Polymarket →
26.50%
03:3004 AM04:3005 AM05:3006 AM06:3007 AM07:3008 AM08:3009 AM09:3010 AM10:3011 AM11:3012 PM222426283032343638404244%26.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$5.7K

Your call

The market says 26.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price26.50%
Spread + depth+1.21 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability27.71%
3608
Shares
$2,608
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.8%)
Mid Price
26.5¢
Total Depth
$6,608
Bid/Ask Imbalance
32% bid
Bids (Buy)
26.0¢105
25.0¢2,585
24.0¢4,517
23.0¢1,165
22.0¢41
19.0¢37
18.0¢20
8.0¢1,000
Asks (Sell)
27.0¢1,035
28.0¢3,395
29.0¢2,805
30.0¢281
31.0¢40
32.0¢20
43.0¢92
44.0¢97
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
27.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
27.71¢+2.64%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
40.27¢+49.16%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 26.50%, based on $5.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.