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Politics · Polymarket

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Trade on Polymarket →
57.00%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 1530354045505560657075%57.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 63.7% in 14d (57.3–69.7%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$613
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (3.5%)
Mid Price
57.0¢
Total Depth
$289,835
Bid/Ask Imbalance
9% bid
Bids (Buy)
56.0¢75
55.0¢730
54.0¢85
53.0¢154
52.0¢467
51.0¢400
50.0¢500
48.0¢20
Asks (Sell)
58.0¢5
59.0¢237
60.0¢811
61.0¢3,917
62.0¢6,960
63.0¢737
64.0¢1,635
65.0¢5,040
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
58.97¢+1.67%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
60.22¢+3.82%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
62.19¢+7.23%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PredictItHow many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?: 192 or fewer
21.50%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 57.00%, based on $613 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 20, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.