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AI · Polymarket

Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
40.00%
Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 131015202530354045505560%40.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 35.6% in 14d (25.2–47.5%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$3
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (5.0%)
Mid Price
40.0¢
Total Depth
$3,910
Bid/Ask Imbalance
5% bid
Bids (Buy)
39.0¢152
38.0¢44
37.0¢93
36.0¢10
33.0¢40
21.0¢38
20.0¢50
19.0¢120
Asks (Sell)
41.0¢15
42.0¢135
43.0¢66
44.0¢38
51.0¢16
52.0¢30
53.0¢10
56.0¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
42.39¢+3.38%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
76.03¢+85.44%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
91.26¢+122.58%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 40.00%, based on $3 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.