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Culture · Polymarket

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 38 million views in week 1?

Trade on Polymarket →
83.50%
September06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 0206 AM12 PM06 PMThu 0306 AM12 PM06 PMFri 0406 AM12 PM06 PMSat 0506 AM12 PM06 PM102030405060708090100%83.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 96.0% in 2d (91.5–98.2%)+0.13pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$5.5K
Momentum
+0.13pt/day

Your call

The market says 83.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price83.50%
Spread + depth+6.11 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability89.61%
1116
Shares
$116
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.2%)
Mid Price
83.5¢
Total Depth
$3,634
Bid/Ask Imbalance
15% bid
Bids (Buy)
83.0¢10
82.0¢139
81.0¢147
75.0¢40
72.0¢8
71.0¢50
52.0¢21
51.0¢40
Asks (Sell)
84.0¢170
87.0¢250
88.0¢20
89.0¢184
90.0¢46
91.0¢6
92.0¢53
93.0¢106
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
84.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
89.61¢+6.68%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
93.67¢+11.52%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 38 million views in week 1?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 83.50%, based on $5.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.