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Culture · Polymarket

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?

Trade on Polymarket →
42.45%
06:3007 PM07:3008 PM08:3009 PM09:3010 PM10:3011 PM11:30Mon 0712:3001 AM01:3005101520253035404550%42.90%

Stats

24h Volume
$4.9K

Your call

The market says 42.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price42.45%
Spread + depth+47.28 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability89.73%
1114
Shares
$114
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
10.4¢ (24.2%)
Mid Price
42.9¢
Total Depth
$8,722
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
37.7¢10
37.5¢20
36.0¢30
25.3¢10
25.2¢40
11.9¢11
11.8¢20
7.7¢10
Asks (Sell)
48.1¢10
48.2¢10
48.3¢40
57.8¢30
57.9¢10
93.3¢595
93.4¢100
93.5¢15
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
66.07¢+37.35%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
89.73¢+86.56%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
98.32¢+104.40%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 42.45%, based on $4.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 7, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.